Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 8.297560 9.706535 11.249544 13.060404 15.122805 17.393848 20.079106
2026-01-11 5.923840 7.818995 10.115269 13.080937 16.785823 21.235710 26.956329
2026-01-18 4.545292 6.614281 9.331438 13.112181 18.179446 24.672016 33.544069
2026-01-25 3.521726 5.581754 8.482241 12.781484 18.891303 27.145111 38.993211
2026-02-01 2.796500 4.789140 7.775443 12.455676 19.453845 29.345633 44.148385
2026-02-08 2.208023 4.071054 7.032440 11.920429 19.577785 30.853930 48.368695
2026-02-15 1.784416 3.527541 6.455064 11.523522 19.807358 32.463924 52.786036
2026-02-22 1.575155 3.308041 6.359346 11.860737 21.177836 35.855801 60.077000
2026-03-01 1.403570 3.122075 6.285939 12.209909 22.577394 39.373949 67.787895
2026-03-08 1.162854 2.754550 5.830048 11.826743 22.693733 40.826440 72.307370
2026-03-15 0.979356 2.465161 5.471914 11.563760 22.969573 42.529869 77.312292
2026-03-22 0.908773 2.403768 5.544506 12.106477 24.715473 46.811517 86.847881
2026-03-29 0.810349 2.272763 5.482822 12.433330 26.193933 50.911309 96.663920
2026-04-05 0.697547 2.085929 5.281902 12.471995 27.166200 54.257526 105.539658
2026-04-12 0.601689 1.917716 5.092327 12.505735 28.127738 57.657515 114.759240
2026-04-19 0.499525 1.705296 4.762827 12.189280 28.347937 59.692961 121.650601
2026-04-26 0.415134 1.518223 4.457338 11.876948 28.530739 61.652416 128.514157
2026-05-03 0.335911 1.321976 4.089887 11.363717 28.222583 62.619497 133.558365
2026-05-10 0.276045 1.167234 3.798239 10.983196 28.150197 64.027471 139.516010
2026-05-17 0.250718 1.121162 3.792888 11.306491 29.677234 68.771182 152.271564
2026-05-24 0.228501 1.079530 3.792471 11.641298 31.260269 73.736943 165.764395
2026-05-31 0.188985 0.959258 3.537905 11.273899 31.161269 75.167581 172.232683
2026-06-07 0.158696 0.863788 3.338015 11.021772 31.305556 77.116386 179.866792